Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 may not assist full self-driving and that he doesn’t really know what it would take.
Thousands and thousands of Tesla autos are outfitted with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the yr, we now have been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to return clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that path throughout the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO mentioned when requested about Tesla attaining its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 autos:
We’re not 100% positive. HW4 has a number of occasions the potential of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes a whole lot of efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There’s some probability that HW3 doesn’t obtain the protection stage that enables for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 might probably not assist unsupervised self-driving.
Nonetheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is at the moment utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 regardless that one was initially meant as redundancy, which that you must obtain Tesla’s promised stage 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it nearly inconceivable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would wish to maintain growing software program to resolve self-driving, which continues to be removed from conducting, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He mentioned that Tesla would provide a pc improve if Tesla came upon for positive that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we are going to improve those that purchased HW3 FSD at no cost. And we now have designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand acknowledged, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it at the moment exist.
He mentioned it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of totally different energy and digicam harnesses. The entire laptop can also be a unique kind issue that will make it laborious to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would wish to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 vehicles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, regardless that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger difficulty.
Electrek’s Take
I believe the extra vital remark is that this:
“We don’t really know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply isn’t any for the explanations acknowledged above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it needs to be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That needs to be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He mentioned yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would resolve autonomy by the top of the yr.
Now, he’s assured that this can occur subsequent yr, and we must always imagine him. Why?
The information are that Tesla was flawed about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was flawed about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is extremely probably flawed about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it received’t know for positive till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” package deal and saying it would occur subsequent yr?
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